A load of crap from an idle brain

I had always wondered about the procedure of choosing a guest for the Republic Day celebrations that happen in New Delhi.  Going by this article, there seems to be a strategy behind the whole selection.  It all depends on the way India percieves the person its inviting, the kind of relations between the two countries and if India wants to elevate the relationship level and lots more.  This year’s Republic Day guest is South Korean President, Lee Myung-Bak.

In an innovation increasingly evident, the government has been weaving strategy with hospitality to decide its chief guest for the Republic Day. So in the 60th year of the republic, as it gets ready to host chief guest and South Korean President Lee Myung-bak, New Delhi has given the final environmental clearance to Posco, the South Korean steel giant, to set up a $12-billion steel plant in Orissa. The project is the single biggest foreign investment in the country.

There are other reasons as well for India to extend this year’s honour to Lee. South Korea is an influential player in the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum where India has a growing stake, because of which New Delhi feels the need for a greater engagement with APEC member countries.

Read the full article here

Pictures courtesy: Wikipedia & 26alphabets

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Was it expected?  Well, it depends on the people you are asking.  If you ask the rulers of the kingdom, then everything is and was hunky dory.  If you ask the economists and people tracking the business of Dubai, it was always sitting on a debt bubble, ever willing to burst.

The tallest building, the biggest man made island, the biggest snow world in the midst of a desert, the largest mall in the world, the glitziest and grandest hotels in the world…the list of biggest, largest, tallest was never enough for Dubai to conquer.  And in this context, the tiny city state of Dubai over leveraged itself and built an empire of debt.  A debt that is bigger than its GDP now.

For a country that hardly has any oil, it had to build its future on something else than oil.  So, the charismatic ruler of Dubai, Sheik Mohammed bin Rashid Al-Maktoum decided to move to finance, tourism to hedge its economy.  Good vision no doubt, but its the execution where the fault lay.  Mindless borrowing was fun and fine till the economic collapse happened in the USA.  With the collapse of Lehman, Merrill Lynch and a host of big banks, the easy money dried up.  And it was just a matter of time before which this was to happen.

Just three days before Eid, the Dubai government’s announced a six-month reprieve on debt repayments. This  sent shockwaves through the world markets, as it raised doubts over the Gulf emirate’s ability to meet its financial obligations.

Dubai is being crushed under a mountain of debt. The emirate has a debt in excess of $80 billion which it incurred by expanding in banking, real estate and transportation. Dubai World with $60 billion liabilities has sought a six-month standstill on its debt repayment to all its lenders.

The Dubai government requested the creditors of Dubai World (one of three conglomerates that are backed by the emirate), to agree to a ‘standstill’ on repayments until May 30 2010.

On one hand the Finance ministers and bankers are saying that the markets are behaving erratically.  But believe them at their own peril.  These are the same people who just days before the collapse of the American banks proclaimed that all was well.

For most of this decade Dubai has been the Victoria Beckham of the Arab world–the biggest, glitziest, most heedless spender. It’s been the sort of place that invests $7.6 billion subway system few of its 1.6 million people are likely to use, the sort of place that builds artificial islands in the shape of palm trees, the sort of place that builds the world’s tallest skyscraper, the sort of place that sells designer seat-belts to encourage drivers to be safer in the very cars it wants them to trade in for a subway ride, and the sort of place where office buildings have been the Gulf’s most copious crop of the decade.

Dubai hasn’t limited its excesses to its corner of the United Arab Emirates. Through Dubai World, the Emirate’s investment arm, it partnered with MGM Mirage and invested in such projects as Las Vegas’ City Center, a 67-acre development that includes a 4,004-room hotel-casino, 2,400 high-rise residential condos, dining and entertainment venues and its own retail district. At $8.5 billion, it’s the most expensive privately financed construction project in the United States.

Now the bad news.

The Dubai subway has been running since September, albeit to empty quarters. A quarter of Dubai’s office space is vacant. Workers have taken salary cuts of up to 30%. The Emirati government is in debt to the tune of $80 billion to $120 billion. CityCenter? It’s “worth about half of what it cost MGM Mirage and Dubai World to build the massive Strip development,” the Las Vegas Review-Journal reported in October. lost half its value. MGM Mirage took a $1 billion write-down already, Dubai World ate a $348 million loss (so far).

Read rest of the article here

So, does that mean that the Dubai dream is all over?  Not really.  Am sure the more conservative cousin of Dubai, Abu Dhabi will come in with its oil money to rescue it.  But Abu Dhabi has conveyed that the help will on a case to case basis.

That would mean that we would see lesser flamboyance from everyone associated with Dubai, at least for some time now.

More articles on the Dubai mayhem

Recession and debt dissolve Dubai’s mirage in the desert
Dubai’s Debt Troubles: Beginning of the Next Leg Down?
Dubai: an emirate in crisis
Sober ruler of Dubai whose vision is crumbling in the face of the storm

With signs of green shoots showing in economies worldwide, India  Inc’s appetite for overseas acquisitions got a fresh lease of life with Reliance Industries’ estimated $10-12 billion offer for a controlling interest in bankrupt LyondellBasell Industries.

The deal by India’s largest private sector company controlled by Mukesh Ambani, if closed, will make it one of the largest petrochemical outfits in the world. It will also be the second largest overseas acquisition by an Indian company, after Tata Steel bought Corus for $13 billion in 2007.

RIL has enough money power to make the deal happen. It has $4 billion in cash and $8 billion in treasury stocks, besides a favourable 0.35:1 debt-equity ratio. It also raised $660 million through treasury stocks sale recently.

In the year to October, Indian comanies acquired overseas assets worth $586 million, a sharp fall from the $13.06 billion in the same period a year ago, according to data from Grant Thornton Deal Tracker.

HSBC believes outbound activity will bounce back. About 70 per cent of HSBC’s pipeline is outbound transactions, which has remained the same as the previous year’s.

Tarun Kataria, managing director and head of corporate, investment banking and markets at HSBC, says India is sitting on the cusp of rapidly growing cross-border M&A activity.

“Indian firms are now well capitalised, are trading at circa 20x multiples, offshore markets are trading at a discount to India and financing is more readily available to Indian corporates than to competing offshore acquirers.”

Rest of the news here

Christmas is always early in Singapore. By November, the main shopping street of Orchard Road gets fully decked up with lights, christmas trees and other decorations.  This year’s lights were switched on November 8th.  We were there to see the light up.  Paragon had a live band and some pyrotechnics to go along to mark the light up.

Overall, it was fun.  A massive tree has been setup outside ION Orchard.  You can go inside the tree and see the lightup. Its simply awesome.

Tangs as usual takes the cake for the most opulent and innovative kind of decorations. Like always, they are simply over the top.  The shop gets a total golden makeover.

Putting up a few pictures here.  Once all have been uploaded, will put up a link here.

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Wipro, India’s No. 3 software services exporter, said on Thursday it had agreed to buy some personal care businesses of Yardley for about $45.5 million, adding to its consumer goods business.

Wipro said it had signed an agreement with UK-based Lornamead group, which owns the Yardley brand, for the businesses in Asia, the Middle East, Australasia and some African markets. The transaction is expected to be completed by mid-December, it said in a statement.

Lornamead’s global turnover is estimated to be close to $650 million. Its portfolio straddles various categories of personal care products including hair-care (Brisk, Aqua Net and Vosene), cosmetics and skin-care (Amplex and Handsan), oral care (Brilliant and Goldspot) and home care brand Stergene.

Tura is a significant player in soaps and skin care in Nigeria, with an annual turnover of close to $50 million.

This is Wipro’s second big buy-out in the FMCG space in two years. In July 2007, Wipro had acquired Singapore-based personal care products manufacturer Unza Holdings Ltd for $246 million (Rs 1,010.2 crore) in an all-cash deal. That deal with Unza’s portfolio of shampoos, creams, lotions and detergents had marked Wipro’s big plunge into the global FMCG space.

Full article here

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